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FanGraphs Weekly Mailbag: May 9, 2026

Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

One of my biggest regrets in the years I’ve been covering baseball is that I never got John Sterling’s list. You see, in addition to our mutual love of baseball, Sterling shared my appreciation for film noir. I don’t remember how it came up, but I learned of Sterling’s noir kick in the summer of 2023, when Yankees beat writer Chris Kirschner, of The Athletic, suggested I talk to the longtime Yankees radio broadcaster about it. I had never met Sterling before, but the next day in the Yankee Stadium press box dining room, I introduced myself. He was so excited to know that this 27-year-old kid also loved noir, and he immediately asked me what my favorites were. Right away, I rattled off In a Lonely Place, Out of the Past, and Double Indemnity, which looking back on it, must have made me seem like a noir novice, as if I said my three favorite Springsteen songs were “Born to Run,” “Born in the USA,” and “Dancing in the Dark.” But Sterling didn’t think anything of it. Or if he did, he didn’t show it. Instead, his face lit up, and in his baritone voice, he beamed about Bogart and Mitchum and MacMurray. We chatted for a few minutes before I asked him for his recommendations. He had to get back to the booth — it was almost game time — but he told me to come find him next homestand and he’d make a list for me. Unfortunately, I didn’t see him for another month or so, and when I did, I didn’t ask him for the list. We didn’t really know each other, and I didn’t want to bother him with something so trivial. He retired early the next season.

Growing up a Yankees fan from the Hudson Valley, I listened to Sterling for most of my life. His voice is woven into the fabric of my baseball fandom. It’s not a stretch to say that all those years spent listening to him on the radio contributed to my becoming a baseball writer. And yet, when I saw the news that Sterling had died on Monday at age 87, the first thing I thought about was the brief time we spent talking about film noir in front of the press box coffee machine that summer day in 2023. I never got the list, but I did get a wonderful memory. I’ll cherish it forever.

There’s no natural transition to the mailbag from there, so let’s just get to it. This week, we’ll be answering your questions about Austin Hedges’ unexpected hot start at the plate, the most efficient pitchers on a per-pitch basis, teams that register a .500 OBP in a game, and the largest percentage of career stolen bases coming in the shortest span of time. But first, I’d like to remind you that this mailbag is exclusive to FanGraphs Members. If you aren’t yet a Member and would like to keep reading, you can sign up for a Membership here. It’s the best way to both experience the site and support our staff, and it comes with a bunch of other great benefits. Also, if you’d like to ask a question for an upcoming mailbag, send me an email at mailbag@fangraphs.com.

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Dear FanGraphs team,

Austin Hedges is having a breakout offensive season — yes, Austin Hedges. Yes, I’ve seen the BABIP, but in his case, the fact that he’s even putting balls in play is a miracle. This got me wondering: Who is the worst hitter of all-time with a minimum of 2,500 plate appearances (roughly the number Hedges has logged)? Is Hedges on the short list?

Thanks!

– Kevin S.

Austin Hedges is one of my favorite players because he has somehow made a career out of two things and two things only: Great defense and immaculate vibes. The man known as Hog — incredible nickname, it must be said — has played parts of 12 seasons in the big leagues, and he’s on track to reach 10 years of service time before the end of the 2026 campaign. But also, Hedges is an abysmal hitter. You know that, I know that — everybody reading this knows that. And yet, just like the 2011 Adam Sandler movie Jack and Jill, Hedges’ performance at the plate is even worse than you remember it. Here are his offensive numbers, by season and for his career, entering play Friday:

Austin Hedges Offense
Year Team PA AB HR BA OBP SLG OPS BB% K% wRC+
2015 SDP 152 137 3 .168 .215 .248 .463 5.3 25.0 26
2016 SDP 26 24 0 .125 .154 .167 .321 0.0 26.9 -19
2017 SDP 417 387 18 .214 .262 .398 .660 5.5 29.3 69
2018 SDP 326 303 14 .231 .282 .429 .711 6.4 27.6 90
2019 SDP 347 312 11 .176 .252 .311 .563 7.8 31.4 48
2020 SDP/CLE 83 69 3 .145 .231 .290 .521 7.2 27.7 45
2021 CLE 312 286 10 .178 .220 .308 .527 4.8 27.9 42
2022 CLE 338 294 7 .163 .241 .248 .489 7.4 23.1 43
2023 PIT/TEX 212 185 1 .184 .234 .227 .461 5.2 22.2 24
2024 CLE 146 132 2 .152 .203 .220 .422 4.1 34.2 20
2025 CLE 180 155 5 .161 .250 .277 .527 10.0 23.9 51
2026 CLE 50 45 1 .311 .360 .367 .827 8.0 20.0 130
Career 2589 2329 75 .187 .246 .316 .562 6.3 27.2 51

With a 51 wRC+, Hedges is on the short list for worst hitter ever among players with at least 2,500 plate appearances, but from a production standpoint, he’s nowhere near the worst. That distinction belongs to mailbag regular Bill Bergen, whose 22 wRC+ is so bad that you’d have to double it before getting to the second-worst hitter, Rafael Belliard. Hedges doesn’t even rank among the five worst hitters by wRC+, at least at the moment anyway. His hot start to 2026 increased his lifetime wRC+ by one point, moving him from fifth to seventh on our worst hitters list:

Worst Hitters Ever
Name Years PA AB HR BA OBP SLG OPS wRC+ WAR
Bill Bergen 11 3228 3028 2 .170 .194 .201 .395 22 -16.2
Rafael Belliard 17 2524 2301 2 .221 .270 .259 .530 44 -1.2
Jeff Mathis 17 3015 2718 53 .194 .252 .299 .551 45 3.3
Hal Lanier 10 3940 3703 8 .228 .255 .275 .529 49 -0.8
Tommy Thevenow 15 4484 4164 2 .247 .285 .294 .579 51 -5.6
Bobby Wine 12 3467 3172 30 .215 .264 .286 .550 51 -1.2
Austin Hedges 12 2589 2329 75 .187 .246 .316 .562 51 9.4
Doug Flynn 11 4085 3853 7 .238 .266 .294 .560 52 -8.4
Juan Castro 17 2849 2627 36 .229 .268 .327 .595 52 -6.2
Rey Ordonez 9 3407 3115 12 .246 .289 .310 .600 54 2.3
Minimum 2,500 PA

I included WAR in the table above because, as you’ll see, Hedges is by far the best overall player among these terrible batters. In fact, you’d have to go all the way down to the 30th-worst hitter to find a player with more WAR. That would be Jose Molina, who retired with a career 64 wRC+ and 19.9 WAR.

Anyway, if you scroll back up to the first table above, with Hedges’ seasonal and career numbers, you’ll see that through his first 16 games and 50 plate appearances this season, Hog is going wild with the lumber. To bring back the Jack and Jill analogy, this season is Hedges’ Dunkaccino Commercial — the one unexpected stretch of greatness within an overall shield-your-eyes-bad production:

Alas, we know this moment of glory isn’t likely to last. Hedges didn’t suddenly become an elite hitter at age 33. Realistically, he didn’t become a good hitter or an average hitter at age 33, either. I doubt he even became a slightly below-average hitter. But the fascinating thing about Hedges is that he’s valuable to the Guardians even as one of the worst hitters ever. And if he’s found a way to be just a little bit better than that extremely low bar, he and Cleveland should consider it a win.

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Hi FanGraphs,

Love reading the weekly mailbag. My question today is about quick-outs relievers. As a groundball pitcher who throws a lot of strikes, I feel like Tim Hill is always getting outs on as few pitches as I’ve ever seen. I mostly watch Yankee games, so possibly my view of him is skewed. It made me curious, what pitchers are the most efficient on a per-pitch basis? Similar to the fewest IP-to-Wins question from a two weeks ago, which pitchers have recorded the most outs on the fewest pitches?

Thanks,
Pat

Michael Baumann: Greetings, Pat. As luck would have it, just this morning I was noodling around our leaderboards, and was astonished to see how low Hill’s strikeout and walk rates had dropped: 11.8% and 3.7%, respectively. His TTO rate, as of Wednesday (when I’m writing this), was a measly 17.6%, which is the third lowest among qualified relievers. That’s roughly the same TTO% Burleigh Grimes produced in 1918, decades before the invention of the strikeout.

As to your specific question, I vividly remember making a chart of the pitchers who use the fewest pitches per out and per batter for an article at some point in the past. But I have no idea when, and a quick shuffle through my archive didn’t turn anything up. I’m sure it’s in there somewhere. At any rate, this isn’t an especially difficult question to answer.

I made a quick custom leaderboard that showed the total number of strikes, innings, and batters faced for anyone with at least 20 innings pitched this year, did some tinkering in Excel… and then realized that Hill wasn’t on it, because as I’m writing, he’s only thrown 14 1/3 innings. OK, let’s do the same thing with a 10-inning minimum.

And Pat, my dear friend, I think you will be quite gratified to learn who is the most efficient pitcher in baseball so far this year, by both pitches per out and pitches per batters faced.

The Most Efficient Pitchers in Baseball
By Pitches Per Out
Name Team Pitches/Out Pitches/BF Pitches TBF Outs IP
Tim Hill NYY 3.72 3.14 160 51 43 14 1/3
Ryan Thompson ARI 4.33 3.20 173 54 40 13 1/3
Joel Kuhnel ATH 4.18 3.24 159 49 38 12 2/3
Drew Pomeranz LAA 5.15 3.25 211 65 41 13 2/3
Tyler Rogers TOR 4.40 3.28 220 67 50 16 2/3
Jakob Junis TEX 4.24 3.36 195 58 46 15 1/3
Bryan Woo SEA 4.61 3.42 567 166 123 41
Zack Littell WSN 5.30 3.43 514 150 97 32 1/3
Brandon Woodruff MIL 4.61 3.43 415 121 90 30
Jose A. Ferrer SEA 5.19 3.46 280 81 54 18
By Pitches Per Batter Faced
Name Team Pitches/Out Pitches/BF Pitches TBF Outs IP
Tim Hill NYY 3.72 3.14 160 51 43 14 1/3
Joel Kuhnel ATH 4.18 3.24 159 49 38 12 2/3
John King MIA 4.23 3.55 199 56 47 15 2/3
Jakob Junis TEX 4.24 3.36 195 58 46 15 1/3
Ryan Thompson ARI 4.33 3.20 173 54 40 13 1/3
Matt Brash SEA 4.35 3.89 148 38 34 11 1/3
Rico Garcia BAL 4.38 3.89 210 54 48 16
Tyler Rogers TOR 4.40 3.28 220 67 50 16 2/3
Brant Hurter DET 4.41 3.50 238 68 54 18
Yennier Cano BAL 4.47 3.74 161 43 36 12
Through 5/5, minimum 10 IP

Hill is not only the most efficient pitcher in the league, he’s the most efficient pitcher in the league by a massive margin, if you go by pitches per out. It’s not just Yankee bias, Pat. To hell with the other 29 teams — you already know everything you need to know from watching the Yankees.

You have no idea how much I envy you, Pat. So much of this job is checking eye test stuff against the data, and it’s not every day that you turn out to be not only right, but emphatically right.

Because I already made this leaderboard, let’s flip it upside-down and see who the least efficient pitchers are.

The Least Efficient Pitchers in Baseball
By Pitches Per Out
Name Team Pitches/Out Pitches/BF Pitches TBF Outs IP
Ryne Stanek STL 7.69 4.55 346 76 45 15
Bryan Abreu HOU 7.14 4.06 264 65 37 12 1/3
Tanner Banks PHI 6.95 3.97 278 70 40 13 1/3
Erik Miller SFG 6.91 4.90 235 48 34 11 1/3
Enmanuel De Jesus DET 6.89 3.89 241 62 35 11 2/3
Peyton Pallette CLE 6.84 4.49 301 67 44 14 2/3
Jack Flaherty DET 6.82 4.21 593 141 87 29
Ryan Weiss HOU 6.79 4.05 530 131 78 26
Cole Wilcox SEA 6.75 3.86 270 70 40 13 1/3
Anthony Kay CHW 6.74 4.24 607 143 90 30
By Pitches Per Batter Faced
Name Team Pitches/Out Pitches/BF Pitches TBF Outs IP
Erik Miller SFG 6.91 4.90 235 48 34 11 1/3
Connor Prielipp MIN 6.14 4.61 258 56 42 14
Ryne Stanek STL 7.69 4.55 346 76 45 15
Louis Varland TOR 5.70 4.51 302 67 53 17 2/3
Peyton Pallette CLE 6.84 4.49 301 67 44 14 2/3
Cade Smith CLE 6.35 4.49 292 65 46 15 1/3
Cal Quantrill TEX 5.93 4.45 178 40 30 10
Will Vest DET 6.57 4.42 230 52 35 11 2/3
Lucas Erceg KCR 5.93 4.40 273 62 46 15 1/3
Evan Sisk PIT 6.21 4.40 242 55 39 13
Through 5/5, minimum 10 IP

Ugh. Ryne Stanek and Erik Miller, making us sit through an extra two or three pitches per out. Life is short, fellas. Be more like Tim Hill.

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Dear FanGraphs team,

First-time caller, long-time fan. Last Saturday, during their 17-7 win over the Reds, the Pirates’ offense got on base via a walk or hit more times (28) than the number of outs they made (24). How often do teams register an OBP of over .500 in a single game? Aside from last Saturday’s game, when was the last time it happened?

— Matt D.

Jon Becker: Howdy, Matt! My gut reaction to your question was “a .500 OBP in a single game for a team is impressive, but I bet it’s more common than you’d think.” And thanks to it being an easy search on Stathead, I didn’t have to write a single line of code to find the answer, unlike most of the mailbag questions Matt Martell sends my way!

That Reds-Pirates game on May 2 was the first such instance in… an entire week. And it’s already the 12th such game of the season:

.500+ OBP Team Games, 2026
Team Date OBP Opp Result PA H BB HBP
PIT 5/2/26 .574 CIN W, 17-7 54 19 11 1
KCR 4/25/26 .563 LAA W, 12-1 48 15 10 2
BAL 4/24/26 .500 BOS W, 10-3 44 20 2 0
ARI 4/22/26 .500 CHW W, 11-7 44 16 6 0
CHC 4/21/26 .500 PHI W, 7-4 48 12 10 2
PIT 4/13/26 .500 WSN W, 16-5 50 16 7 2
ATL 4/12/26 .512 CLE W, 13-1 43 19 2 1
SDP 4/12/26 .500 COL W, 7-2 38 10 6 2
ATH 4/5/26 .510 HOU W, 12-10 (10) 49 16 9 0
HOU 4/4/26 .582 ATH W, 11-0 55 18 13 1
KCR 4/1/26 .500 MIN W, 13-9 44 15 5 2
MIL 3/26/26 .512 CHW W, 14-2 45 12 10 0
Source: Baseball Reference

Unsurprisingly, getting on base in half of your plate appearances is a pretty good way to guarantee a win. The last time a team lost when getting on base half the time was on August 1 of last season, when the Pirates, who led 9-1 after the first inning and 16-10 after seven innings, reached base 28 times in 54 plate appearances while falling in ridiculous fashion to the Rockies. That’s partly because Colorado also registered an on-base percentage above .500 for the game, reaching 27 times in 52 trips to the plate. The last instance of a team losing such a game without its opponent also reaching base half the time was August 28, 2024, when the Pirates (again!) lost to the Cubs, 14-10. The Pirates were also up big in that game, leading 10-5 heading into the seventh inning. As you might’ve guessed, the Cubs were rolling in that game, too, but they reached base at a mere .469 clip.

Let’s end with a summary of the 20 seasons with the most games, league-wide, in which a team got on base in more than half of its plate appearances:

Most Team Games With a .500+ OBP
Season Games W L W-L%
1925 127 119 8 .937
2000 121 116 5 .959
1999 117 110 7 .940
1930 112 104 8 .929
1927 104 98 6 .942
1922 103 98 5 .951
1921 102 100 2 .980
1929 100 88 10 .890
1996 100 97 3 .970
1924 99 93 6 .939
1928 96 95 1 .990
1920 94 90 4 .957
1936 91 89 2 .978
1923 90 86 4 .956
1926 87 81 6 .931
2007 87 87 0 1.000
1899 86 80 5 .936
1995 85 80 5 .941
1997 84 82 2 .976
Source: Baseball Reference

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Hi again and happy May the Fourth to all who celebrate. I feel like Sarah Langs’ birthday, and with it the chance to support project ALS, should get acknowledged, so here’s a question related to one of her Stats of the Week columns at MLB.com. She noted that Elly De La Cruz “became the seventh player with at least 10 home runs and eight stolen bases before his team’s 30th game of a season since the modern SB rule was adopted (1898).” That isn’t especially interesting to me, but the list of others sure is: “He joined 2002 Vladimir Guerrero, 1997 Larry Walker, 1996 Barry Bonds, 1995 Mo Vaughn, 1987 Eric Davis and 1922 Ken Williams.”

Mo Vaughn? That Mo Vaughn? Alongside power-speed combos like Bonds and Davis? I see Vaughn has 6,410 plate appearances in his career with 30 stolen bases. Eight of those 30 steals came in one month! I have no memory of the month where Mo Vaughn randomly decided to become a huge (literally) stolen base threat, but that has to be some sort of record for largest percentage of a career’s steals coming in the shortest span of time, right? (Among players with X numbers of PA and Y numbers of steals in a career, of course…)

— “Transmission”

Ben Clemens: What a small world! I too saw that column and thought Mo Vaughn looked out of place on it. But I didn’t think to actually do the work to figure out the answer, so I just laughed a little about the thought of Mo Vaughn stealing bases and then moved on. As it turns out, this is something I can measure, though – at least back to 1974, the start of the play-by-play database I’m using.

I looked for players who racked up the highest percentage of their career stolen bases in a 30-day span. I started out by setting a minimum of 2,000 plate appearances and a one-steal minimum just to get a sense of what the league looks like, and I found that four different players got all of their steals in a month’s worth of play. Wilson Ramos, Daryle Ward, and Mike Redmond each stole one base in their career. Toby Hall swiped two – both between August 27 and September 25, 2001. He played in 686 games and accrued more than 2,500 career plate appearances – but only those two steals.

With a more reasonable minimum of 10 steals, Michael Barrett climbs to the top of the list. He swiped four bags in August 2002, and then only seven more in the remainder of his 11-year big league career. That’s 36.4% of his career steals in that month alone. I then set the minimum to 20 steals so that we could get Vaughn on the list:

Highest Percentage of Steals in 30 Days
Player Career PA Career Steals Best Month Best Month Steals Percentage
Ramón Vázquez 2227 20 4/27/03-5/26/03 7 35.0%
Mo Vaughn 6410 30 4/30/95-5/29/95 8 26.7%
Angel Berroa 2807 50 8/24/03-9/22/03 12 24.0%
Frank Catalanotto 4292 45 7/30/01-8/28/01 10 22.2%
Tom Lampkin 2052 23 5/13/93-6/11/93 5 21.7%
Rey Ordonez 3407 28 4/1/97-4/30/97 6 21.4%
Keith Lockhart 2529 30 5/4/96-6/2/96 6 20.0%
John Valentin 4511 47 7/25/95-8/23/95 9 19.1%
Einar Díaz 2257 21 6/29/99-7/28/99 4 19.0%
Rick Ankiel 2115 21 3/28/11-4/26/11 4 19.0%
Notes: 1974-present, min. 2000 PA and 20 career SB

He’s no Ramón Vázquez, and that burst of success from Vázquez was particularly strange. He stole seven bases without getting caught in that span. For the rest of that year, he attempted six steals and was caught half the time. He only attempted 20 other steals the entire rest of his career, and was successful on just 13 of them. Whatever brief magic he captured vanished almost immediately. Vaughn was also perfect on his eight swipes in a single month, and was thrown out more frequently than he succeeded the rest of the year. It really does seem like he just caught a bolt of lightning for about one month.

A few shoutouts for miscellaneous accomplishments in this field: Berroa’s swiping 12 bags in a month is very impressive given how rarely he stole otherwise. Aaron Boone is the top of the leaderboard among players with 100 or more career steals; he stole 13 in July 2002. J.D. Drew gets an honorable mention, too; 13 bags from July 24 to August 22, 1999, and only 74 more across a lengthy, 46-WAR career that spanned from 1998 to 2011. You won’t see any good speed threats on this list, of course, but it’s pretty fun anyway.

Source



* This article was originally published here

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